3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,647 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 215 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,643/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$1,126
HOA
−$8
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$555
Net cashflow
$-567/mo
Annual
$-6,802/yr
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.07%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-567 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (34.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (8.9% below list).
It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $190k (34.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 686 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
12 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $122k; list at $290k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29