101 W Academy St

Albion, NY 14411

$57,500B-

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,513 sqft · Built 1850 · SingleFamily · Pending · 42 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,300/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$302
• Tax + insurance: −$96
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$273
• Net cashflow: $630/mo
• Annual: $7,556/yr
• Cap rate: 19.43%
• Cash-on-cash: 46.93%
• DSCR: 3.09
• 1% rule: 2.26%
• Cash to close: $16,100

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $630 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
• It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $56k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $398 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,009 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Albion Central School District (town): math 37% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #479 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Ronald L Sodoma Elementary School (math 31% / reading 49%, grade F, #1,415 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 820 students, 57% FRL); Carl I Bergerson Middle School (math 19% / reading 44%, grade F, #522 of 729 statewide, top 73%, 403 students, 62% FRL); Charles D'Amico High School (math 98% / reading 87%, grade A+, #158 of 1,100 statewide, top 15%, 514 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 45% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 28 units permitted in Orleans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Orleans County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 4.1% in Albion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.