4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
916 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 650 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,361/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$286
Net cashflow
$227/mo
Annual
$2,726/yr
Cap rate
8.24%
Cash-on-cash
6.95%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (2.8% below list).
It's been on market 650 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Gaylord Community Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #123 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Otsego County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $17k; list at $140k implies a 736% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 650 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-65C5V74B93QR4T
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29