1676 Springwood Ave · Bagley, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
Key facts
- Open-concept layout
- Close to downtown
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Gaylord Community Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #123 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Otsego County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 650 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $140k implies a 736% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 650 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.95%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,779
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -5.90%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1336 Groveland Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-2%) | 15mo | $37,000 | $41 | 61 |
| 1859 Orange Grove Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,000 (+9%) | 11mo | $50,000 | $50 | 60 |
| 1848 Melvindale Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+14%) | 6mo | $164,000 | $158 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-8,269
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $11,217
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49735
- Home prices YoY
- -27.8%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,361 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $670/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 650 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 649 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 648 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 647 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 645 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $140,000 Active 644 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 641 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 640 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 639 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 638 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 635 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 634 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 633 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 632 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 631 DOM
-
2026-02-23status Active 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2026-02-19price $140,000 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2025-09-10status Active 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2025-08-09historical Active Under Contract 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2025-07-02status Active 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2025-06-20historical Active Under Contract 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2025-06-04status Active 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2025-05-21historical Active Under Contract 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2025-03-24price $145,000 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2025-03-04status Active 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2024-12-16price $150,000 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2024-09-18price $155,000 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
-
2024-09-03$160,000 Active 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
This beautifully remodeled mobile home seamlessly combines modern amenities with timeless charm, offering a fresh, contemporary living space. Upon entering, you're greeted by an open-concept layout that maximizes space and light. Close to downtown Gaylord and all that it has to offer. Come see this beautiful property while it lasts!
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2016-08-19$16,750
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2016-08-17soldstatus $16,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $670 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,413 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$743/yr (+$62/mo · 110.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,337
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$670
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,307
- − Management
- −$1,307
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $438
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$105
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gaylord Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2615730
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,682
- Composite
- 40.97/100
- National rank
- #3597
- State rank
- #123 of 540 in MI
Livability — Bagley
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,678
Population outlook (Otsego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,175 people
- By 2030
- 23,836 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 22,718 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 21,411 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 18,864 · -22.0%
- By 2100
- 15,011 · -37.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Otsego
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.3) · D 31.6% · R 67.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.5pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -35.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.3 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+19.7 2008: R+8.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.52%
- Current HPI
- 245.8639
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+735.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Relisted — WWMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $140,000 WWMLS
- 2025-09-10 Relisted — WWMLS
- 2025-08-09 Contingent — WWMLS
- 2025-07-02 Relisted — WWMLS
- 2025-06-20 Contingent — WWMLS
- 2025-06-04 Relisted — WWMLS
- 2025-05-21 Contingent — WWMLS
- 2025-03-24 Price Changed $145,000 WWMLS
- 2025-03-04 Relisted — WWMLS
- 2024-12-16 Price Changed $150,000 WWMLS
- 2024-09-18 Price Changed $155,000 WWMLS
- 2024-09-03 Listed $160,000 WWMLS
- 2016-08-19 Listed $16,750 WWMLS
- 2016-08-17 Sold (MLS) $16,750 WWMLS
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $670 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…