4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,290 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,085/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$770
Tax + insurance
−$378
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$438
Net cashflow
$500/mo
Annual
$5,996/yr
Cap rate
10.38%
Cash-on-cash
14.59%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$41,097
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $147k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $250/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $147k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#569 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Waverly Central School District (town): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #480 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Elm Street Elementary School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 443 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 42% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $54k; list at $147k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-679FRXDC5PRF38
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29