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472 Waverly St Duplex
B+ Composite 75.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$146,775

472 Waverly St · Waverly, NY 14892
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,290 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1890 5,227 sqft lot Est $151k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Looking to get started with your first investment opportunity? Maybe you want to owner occupy to help cover your living expenses. This duplex has had significant updates. The unit called 472 1/2 has been recently renovated. The Kitchen and bathroom have been fully renovated just over a year ago. Off of the kitchen is a small enclosed porch area that leads to the back yard. This unit has laundry on the main floor. Upstairs you will find 2 bedrooms that can both fit a king size bed, and a fully renovated bathroom with a tile shower. This unit heats with natural gas/forced air furnace newly installed in 2022. The additional unit has the same layout with 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom upstairs.

Key facts

  • Enclosed porch
  • Tile shower
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

FULLY RENOVATED KITCHENFULLY RENOVATED BATHROOMENCLOSED PORCHLAUNDRY ON MAIN FLOORTILE SHOWERNATURAL GAS FORCED AIR FURNACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info: Two rental units with current rents: one unit at $475 and one unit at $1,050
  • HOA & community:

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Residential multi-family property; Two levels / 2 stories
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Rectangular lot; Lot noted as 'Other' and 'See Remarks'; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 84 (0.12 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dining area with kitchen in each unit
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (each unit described as having a dining area with kitchen and a dining area with living room)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (total); Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Oil heating; Forced air heating; Property has heating
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Walk-out basement access
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater (listed under appliances)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $147k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $250/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $147k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#569 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Waverly Central School District (town): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #480 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Street Elementary School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 443 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 42% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $147k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $137,968 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
10.38%
Cash-on-cash
14.59%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$151,140
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17 Cadwell Ave 0.21mi 4/2.0 2,157 (-6%) 2mo $142,500 $66 77
121 Chemung St 0.31mi 4/2.0 2,336 (+2%) 15mo $120,000 $51 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$47,904
Equity at exit
$64,172
10-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
4.12×
Total profit
$128,261
Equity at exit
$97,502

Cash invested: $41,097 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14892

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,085 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$770
Tax from tax record
$317 /mo · $3,799/yr
Insurance
$61
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$500

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,453
Max offer price $146,775
Occupancy floor 71%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,085

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,694
Closing costs
$4,403
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  2. 2026-03-20
    listed $146,775 Active
  3. 2025-08-13
    price $156,000
  4. 2025-06-18
    status Active
  5. 2025-06-01
    historical Active Under Contract
  6. 2025-04-21
    listed $164,000 Active
  7. 2024-06-06
    price $179,000
  8. 2024-04-24
    listed $181,900 Active
  9. 2021-02-26
    soldstatus $53,900
  10. 2021-01-29
    soldstatus $53,900
  11. 2020-10-29
    listed $59,000
  12. 2004-06-15
    soldstatus $59,600
  13. 2002-04-05
    soldstatus $42,000
  14. 1998-07-15
    soldstatus $48,000
  15. 1998-07-15
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,799 · $317/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,799 · $317/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,020
− Mortgage interest
−$8,222
− Property taxes
−$3,799
− Insurance
−$734
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,002
− Management
−$2,002
− Depreciation
−$4,270
Taxable income
$3,992
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$958
After-tax cash flow
$5,038/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waverly Central School District
NCES district ID
3630270
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$44,935
Composite
36.9/100
National rank
#4544
State rank
#480 of 590 in NY

Livability — Waverly

Score
67/100
State rank
#569
US rank
#10246

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waverly, NY
Population (ZIP)
7,531

Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,155 people
By 2030
42,801 · -5.2%
By 2040
37,960 · -15.9%
By 2050
33,071 · -26.8%
By 2075
24,144 · -46.5%
By 2100
16,545 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tioga

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.9) · D 38.6% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -22.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.9 2020: R+20.6 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.78%
Current HPI
236.7714
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+205.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent IBRMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $146,775 IBRMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $156,000 IBRMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Relisted IBRMLS
  • 2025-06-01 Contingent IBRMLS
  • 2025-04-21 Listed $164,000 IBRMLS
  • 2024-06-06 Price Changed $179,000 NMPA
  • 2024-04-24 Listed $181,900 NMPA
  • 2021-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $53,900 Public Records
  • 2021-01-29 Sold (MLS) $53,900 NMPA
  • 2020-10-29 Listed $59,000 NMPA
  • 2004-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $59,600 Public Records
  • 2002-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 1998-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 1998-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,799 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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