2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Manufactured
· Active
· 233 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,262/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$618
HOA
−$406
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$-631/mo
Annual
$-7,568/yr
Cap rate
4.16%
Cash-on-cash
-7.61%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-631 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $24k (79.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 233 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $24k (79.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#14 in FL, #383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Veterans Park Academy For The Arts (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 2,133 students, 36% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 1226 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 124d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.7% in Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 233 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 79% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29