2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
990 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Manufactured
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$911/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$191
Net cashflow
$443/mo
Annual
$5,317/yr
Cap rate
19.59%
Cash-on-cash
47.47%
DSCR
3.11
1% rule
2.28%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($911 rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in WY, #4,584 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Sublette County School District #9 (rural): math 50% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #22 of 41 in WY (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Sublette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sublette County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Exterior siding
— Weathered appearance
Minor: Roof
— May have minor wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-68X0PA2VT8CK6K
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29