2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,287 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Condo
· Active
· 348 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,574/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$642
HOA
−$545
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$330
Net cashflow
$-620/mo
Annual
$-7,439/yr
Cap rate
4.49%
Cash-on-cash
-6.43%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $129k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-620 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $39k (69.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
It's been on market 348 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (69.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#207 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, housing A, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: W.L. Abney Elementary School (math 31% / reading 38%, grade F, #284 of 646 statewide, top 46%, 1,094 students, 70% FRL); St. Tammany Junior High School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #114 of 218 statewide, top 53%, 793 students, 68% FRL); Salmen High School (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #179 of 265 statewide, top 68%, 1,216 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 40% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 49% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Tammany Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 35% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 580 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 52d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.8% in Eden Isle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 348 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 70% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Landscaping
— Some overgrown areas
CashFlowRE · CFR-69TXCP7K48GTXF
· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29