3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,577 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,452/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$467
HOA
−$155
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$515
Net cashflow
$-153/mo
Annual
$-1,836/yr
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.34%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$78,397
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $280k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-153 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (7.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (12.4% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $245k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#26 in NC, #2,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #85 of 178 in NC (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Oakdale Elementary (math 7% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,378 of 1,410 statewide, top 98%, 462 students, 99% FRL); Ranson Middle (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #459 of 475 statewide, top 97%, 817 students, 100% FRL); West Charlotte High School (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #436 of 535 statewide, top 82%, 1,538 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 49% district-wide (51 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 462 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,969 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (5,377 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mecklenburg County population projected at +53% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.1% in Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6AJ7HE1QP25M17
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29