3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Pending
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$904/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$417
Tax + insurance
−$251
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$190
Net cashflow
$46/mo
Annual
$558/yr
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.51%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$22,246
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($558/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($904 rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($550 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#514 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Rantoul Township Hsd 193 (town): math 10% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #824 of 919 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 573 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (359 in 5+ unit buildings).
Champaign County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
10 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6B53RNE7WSQNQD
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29