2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
728 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,092/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$173
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$560
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$75/mo
Annual
$897/yr
Cap rate
9.01%
Cash-on-cash
9.70%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
3.31%
Cash to close
$9,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $33k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($897/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $33k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $33k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $228 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $990 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#671 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Benton Harbor Area Schools (urban): math 4% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #732 of 760 in MI (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 18% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 7.4% in Benton Harbor — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— dated and could be replaced
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— basic and could be upgraded
Moderate: exterior paint
— moderate wear and could be refreshed
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