145 Old Sweetwater Rd

Sweetwater, TN 37874

$97,200B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · Built 2005 · Manufactured · Active · 249 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,417/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$510
• Tax + insurance: −$95
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$298
• Net cashflow: $515/mo
• Annual: $6,178/yr
• Cap rate: 12.65%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.70%
• DSCR: 2.01
• 1% rule: 1.46%
• Cash to close: $27,216

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $97k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
• It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $672 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#134 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Sweetwater (rural): math 25% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #94 of 139 in TN (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Sweetwater Elementary (math 40% / reading 35%, grade F, #269 of 952 statewide, top 28%, 299 students, 0% FRL); Sweetwater Jr High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #231 of 333 statewide, top 70%, 322 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 61% district-wide (61 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 157 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.1% in Sweetwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.