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145 Old Sweetwater Rd
B- Composite 67.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,200

145 Old Sweetwater Rd · Sweetwater, TN 37874
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · Manufactured public records · 248 Days on market
Built 2005 1.14 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Have you been itching to live the country life? Here is your opportunity to buy a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home on an acre of land. Home may need some repairs upon gaining access. Occupied Reserve Auction - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. Buyer responsible to ensure this Mobile Home/Manufactured Housing Unit has had the wheels, axles, and towing hitch removed, is on a permanent foundation or piers, and has been deemed permanently affixed to the subject property and a real property improvement, according to the requirem

Key facts

  • 1.14 acre lot
  • Built 2005
  • Listed 248 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential, manufactured home; Lot size: 1.14 acres; Additional structure: Mobile home; Subdivision: Tanglewood

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Sewer and water available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single story); Entry level: One level
  • Construction: Composition/shingle roof; Built with other construction materials; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; No notable exterior features listed

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $97k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.1% in Sweetwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#134 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sweetwater (rural): math 25% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #94 of 139 in TN (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sweetwater Elementary (math 40% / reading 35%, grade F, #269 of 952 statewide, top 28%, 299 students, 0% FRL); Sweetwater Jr High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #231 of 333 statewide, top 70%, 322 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 61% district-wide (61 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 157 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $672 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,536 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
12.65%
Cash-on-cash
22.70%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$17,020
Equity at exit
$14,493
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$56,964
Equity at exit
$8,404

Cash invested: $27,216 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37874

Home prices YoY
-5.4%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,417 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$510
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $657/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $766
Max offer price $97,200
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $570 -5% $542 +0% $515 +5% $487 +10% $460
Rent -10% $403 -5% $459 +0% $515 +5% $571 +10% $627
Rate -1.0pp $564 -0.5pp $540 base $515 +0.5pp $490 +1.0pp $464

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,300
Closing costs
$2,916
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $97,200 Active 248 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $97,200 Active 247 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $97,200 Active 245 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $97,200 Active 244 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $97,200 Active 243 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $97,200 Active 242 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $97,200 Active 240 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $97,200 Active 239 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $97,200 Active 236 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $97,200 Active 235 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $97,200 Active 234 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $97,200 Active 233 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $97,200 Active 230 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $97,200 Active 229 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $97,200 Active 228 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $97,200 Active 227 DOM
  17. 2026-04-16
    price $97,200
  18. 2026-03-02
    price $99,500
  19. 2026-02-12
    price $101,900
  20. 2026-01-26
    price $104,700
  21. 2026-01-07
    price $115,100
  22. 2025-12-22
    price $141,300
  23. 2025-12-05
    price $164,100
  24. 2025-11-19
    price $188,500
  25. 2025-11-03
    price $219,000
  26. 2025-10-16
    listed $243,800 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$657 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$690 · $58/mo
Expected delta
+$33/yr (+$3/mo · 5.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,010
− Mortgage interest
−$5,445
− Property taxes
−$657
− Insurance
−$486
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,361
− Management
−$1,361
− Depreciation
−$2,828
Taxable income
$4,873
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,170
After-tax cash flow
$5,009/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sweetwater
NCES district ID
4704050
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$36,993
Composite
20.41/100
National rank
#8586
State rank
#94 of 139 in TN

Livability — Sweetwater

Score
66/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#12256

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
16,640
Population (ZIP)
16,640

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,571 people
By 2030
48,155 · +1.2%
By 2040
48,772 · +2.5%
By 2050
48,698 · +2.4%
By 2075
48,558 · +2.1%
By 2100
47,543 · -0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.2% · R 83.0%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+62.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+38.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.36%
Current HPI
336.2084
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-60.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $97,200 GCAR
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $99,500 GCAR
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $101,900 GCAR
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $104,700 GCAR
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $115,100 GCAR
  • 2025-12-22 Price Changed $141,300 GCAR
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $164,100 GCAR
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $188,500 GCAR
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $219,000 GCAR
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $243,800 GCAR

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $657 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…