2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
909 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,066/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$639
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$15
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$-15/mo
Annual
$-180/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.53%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$34,132
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-180/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (12.5% below list).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, crime D.
Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jefferson El (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 382 students, 63% FRL); Mcniel Middle (math 39% / reading 37%, grade F, #717 of 1,662 statewide, top 44%, 1,106 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.8% in Wichita Falls — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— dated and could be replaced
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— dated and could be updated
Minor: exterior paint
— some peeling
Minor: interior paint
— peeling in some areas
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29