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4500 Spanish Trce Unit 4 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 56.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

4500 Spanish Trce Unit 4 · Wichita Falls, TX 76310
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 909 sqft · SingleFamily · 74 Days on market
Built 1969 Fair condition $132/sqft · 25% below area Est $160k · 25% under $15/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity for low-maintenance living! This 2 bed, 1 bath condo offers a functional layout with a cozy living area, fireplace, and private courtyard. Well cared for and ready for your personal touch. Includes 1 covered carport with storage and access to the community pool. HOA is $175/month and covers exterior maintenance, water, sewer, roof (recently replaced), mowing, trash, and pool upkeep. Great place to live or invest!

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Covered carport
  • Private courtyard

Tags

PRIVATE COURTYARDCOMMUNITY POOLCOVERED CARPORTRECENTLY REPLACED ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $119,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$159,764) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.37%
Cash-on-cash
3.84%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$159,764
List price
$119,900
Delta
-24.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-6,426
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$31,148
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76310

Home prices YoY
-25.9%
Rents YoY
7.8%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$15
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,068
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $190 -5% $149 +0% $107 +5% $66 +10% $25
Rent -10% $12 -5% $60 +0% $107 +5% $155 +10% $203
Rate -1.0pp $168 -0.5pp $138 base $107 +0.5pp $76 +1.0pp $45

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4540 Barnett Rd Wichita Falls, TX 1.0 1.0 585 $740 $1.26 44d 1 0.35mi
5210 Tower Dr Wichita Falls, TX 1.0 1.5 910 $775 $0.85 44d 1 0.78mi
5313 Langford Ln Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,650 $1.51 44d 1 1.02mi
4111 McGaha Ave Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1025 $1,125 $1.10 44d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$15 · $180/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashexterior maint.pool

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,900 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 64 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 57 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 56 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 55 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 54 DOM
  17. 2026-04-07
    listed $119,900 Active 434-char remark
    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Great opportunity for low-maintenance living! This 2 bed, 1 bath condo offers a functional layout with a cozy living area, fireplace, and private courtyard. Well cared for and ready for your personal touch. Includes 1 covered carport with storage and access to the community pool. HOA is $175/month and covers exterior maintenance, water, sewer, roof (recently replaced), mowing, trash, and pool upkeep. Great place to live or invest!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,446
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,798
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,156
− Management
−$1,156
− HOA
−$180
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$648
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$156
After-tax cash flow
$1,444/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This property offers a functional layout with a cozy living area and private courtyard. It is in fair condition with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — dated and could be replaced
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — dated and could be updated
  • Minor exterior paint — some peeling
  • Minor interior paint — peeling in some areas

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and increases value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space and increases value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and could be replaced Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and could be updated Minor $500–3,000
exterior paint · some peeling Minor $500–3,000
interior paint · peeling in some areas Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $2,000–12,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and increases value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space and increases value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,029
Household income
$82,183
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
263.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.37%
Current HPI
176.0321
Rent YoY
▲ 7.83%
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $119,900 WFAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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