🏷️ Likely Rental
4500 Spanish Trce Unit 4 · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for low-maintenance living! This 2 bed, 1 bath condo offers a functional layout with a cozy living area, fireplace, and private courtyard. Well cared for and ready for your personal touch. Includes 1 covered carport with storage and access to the community pool. HOA is $175/month and covers exterior maintenance, water, sewer, roof (recently replaced), mowing, trash, and pool upkeep. Great place to live or invest!
Key facts
- Community pool
- Covered carport
- Private courtyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.84%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,764
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -24.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-6,426
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $31,148
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76310
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$15
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $107
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $190 | -5% $149 | +0% $107 | +5% $66 | +10% $25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $12 | -5% $60 | +0% $107 | +5% $155 | +10% $203 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $168 | -0.5pp $138 | base $107 | +0.5pp $76 | +1.0pp $45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4540 Barnett Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $740 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5210 Tower Dr Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0 | 1.5 | 910 | $775 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5313 Langford Ln Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,650 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4111 McGaha Ave Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,125 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $15 · $180/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashexterior maint.pool
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-07$119,900 Active 434-char remark
Show marketing remark (434 chars)
Great opportunity for low-maintenance living! This 2 bed, 1 bath condo offers a functional layout with a cozy living area, fireplace, and private courtyard. Well cared for and ready for your personal touch. Includes 1 covered carport with storage and access to the community pool. HOA is $175/month and covers exterior maintenance, water, sewer, roof (recently replaced), mowing, trash, and pool upkeep. Great place to live or invest!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,446
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,156
- − Management
- −$1,156
- − HOA
- −$180
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$648
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$156
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,444/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property offers a functional layout with a cozy living area and private courtyard. It is in fair condition with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — dated and could be replaced
- Minor bathroom fixtures — dated and could be updated
- Minor exterior paint — some peeling
- Minor interior paint — peeling in some areas
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and increases value
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space and increases value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and could be replaced | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and could be updated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior paint · some peeling | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior paint · peeling in some areas | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $2,000–12,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and increases value ↑
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes the space and increases value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,029
- Household income
- $82,183
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 263.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.37%
- Current HPI
- 176.0321
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.83%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $119,900 WFAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…