3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
832 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Other
· Active
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$899/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$189
Net cashflow
$171/mo
Annual
$2,054/yr
Cap rate
8.58%
Cash-on-cash
8.15%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (0.1% below list).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#783 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Charleston R-I (town): math 11% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #310 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Warren E. Hearnes Elem. (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,007 of 1,115 statewide, top 91%, 262 students, 98% FRL); Charleston Upper Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #362 of 391 statewide, top 93%, 179 students, 92% FRL); Charleston High (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #430 of 521 statewide, top 83%, 331 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 78% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mississippi County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mississippi County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29