2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,760 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,066/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$37/mo
Annual
$447/yr
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.23%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($447/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (18.0% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#133 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Spencer-Owen Community Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #155 of 301 in IN (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gosport Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #597 of 994 statewide, top 63%, 144 students, 76% FRL); Owen Valley Middle School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #222 of 330 statewide, top 67%, 344 students, 55% FRL); Owen Valley Community High School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #106 of 369 statewide, top 31%, 671 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 44% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 120 units permitted in Owen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Owen County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $72k; list at $130k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6E5DC0CF90PFK7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29