3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,243/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,599
Tax + insurance
−$307
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$471
Net cashflow
$-134/mo
Annual
$-1,609/yr
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.88%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$85,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (7.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (26.5% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $224k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#8 in UT, #353 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Buffalo Point School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #287 of 585 statewide, top 52%, 938 students, 11% FRL); Syracuse Jr High (math 33% / reading 44%, grade F, #82 of 138 statewide, top 60%, 1,359 students, 14% FRL); Syracuse High (math 27% / reading 45%, grade F, #90 of 171 statewide, top 53%, 2,452 students, 13% FRL).
Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6HF7PE49S6B5RF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29