2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
896 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$851/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$359
Tax + insurance
−$62
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$251/mo
Annual
$3,011/yr
Cap rate
10.69%
Cash-on-cash
15.70%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$19,180
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($851 rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($474 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,060 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
South Fork SD 14 (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #744 of 919 in IL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask is 72% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $34k; list at $68k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6JDBA5BS4FZ76N
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29