3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Manufactured
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,729/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$1,023
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$-71/mo
Annual
$-855/yr
Cap rate
4.86%
Cash-on-cash
-5.10%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
2.89%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-855/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $50k (17.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $50k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#11 in UT, #457 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Lincoln School (math 13% / reading 16%, grade F, #559 of 585 statewide, top 96%, 703 students, 42% FRL); North Layton Jr High (math 39% / reading 40%, grade F, #75 of 138 statewide, top 56%, 1,009 students, 30% FRL); Northridge High (math 24% / reading 43%, grade F, #106 of 171 statewide, top 62%, 1,954 students, 23% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Davis District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 59% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and peeling
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling and faded
CashFlowRE · CFR-6KSTTWA128Z5SZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29