4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
624 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$429
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$279/mo
Annual
$3,352/yr
Cap rate
10.39%
Cash-on-cash
14.62%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$22,932
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($566 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#497 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, health & safety D+.
Yellow Medicine East (town): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #227 of 301 in MN (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bert Raney Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #423 of 857 statewide, top 55%, 267 students, 59% FRL); Yellow Medicine East Middle School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #204 of 258 statewide, top 80%, 143 students, 49% FRL); Yellow Medicine East High School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #306 of 471 statewide, top 70%, 206 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 33% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Yellow Medicine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yellow Medicine County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6M639E0DW1T73Y
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29