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812 11th Ave
B+ Composite 75.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$81,900

812 11th Ave · Clarkfield, MN 56223
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1900 0.27 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Need room to grow? This home is ready for you. Step inside and discover a spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home with an insulated attached garage—perfect for comfort and convenience. This property has seen several thoughtful updates, including: newer windows and shingles, fresh cement in the garage, driveway, and walkway, new garage door and back door, beautiful tiled walk-in shower, new patio door, main-floor laundry for easy living. If you’re looking for everything on one level, you’ll find it here. Come explore the possibilities and see how easily you can make this home your own.

Key facts

  • Tiled walk-in shower
  • New patio door
  • Newer windows

Tags

INSULATED ATTACHED GARAGENEWER WINDOWSNEW GARAGE DOORTILED WALK-IN SHOWERNEW PATIO DOORMAIN-FLOOR LAUNDRY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with a 7' high by 9' wide door
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; 100 amp electric service (Xcel Energy)
  • Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Stone foundation; Roof replaced/installed within the last 8 years; Public-maintained city street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 85 x 140
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Vinyl siding; Roof age 8 years or less; Built with foundation area of 912
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Light tree coverage on the lot; Wheelchair ramp(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; One bedroom on the main level; Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Main-floor laundry; Living/Dining room; Foyer; Bonus room (upper level); Has crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#497 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, health & safety D+.
  • Yellow Medicine East (town): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #227 of 301 in MN (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bert Raney Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #423 of 857 statewide, top 55%, 267 students, 59% FRL); Yellow Medicine East Middle School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #204 of 258 statewide, top 80%, 143 students, 49% FRL); Yellow Medicine East High School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #306 of 471 statewide, top 70%, 206 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 33% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Yellow Medicine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($566 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Yellow Medicine County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,443 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.39%
Cash-on-cash
14.62%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.1%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$62,392
Equity at exit
$73,782
10-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
8.40×
Total profit
$169,733
Equity at exit
$159,114

Cash invested: $22,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56223

Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,028 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$429
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $832/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $675
Max offer price $81,900
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $326 -5% $303 +0% $279 +5% $256 +10% $233
Rent -10% $198 -5% $239 +0% $279 +5% $320 +10% $361
Rate -1.0pp $321 -0.5pp $300 base $279 +0.5pp $258 +1.0pp $237

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,475
Closing costs
$2,457
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-04
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  3. 2026-05-01
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-30
    historical
  5. 2026-03-23
    listed $81,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$832 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$875 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$43/yr (+$4/mo · 5.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,339
− Mortgage interest
−$4,588
− Property taxes
−$832
− Insurance
−$410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$987
− Management
−$987
− Depreciation
−$2,383
Taxable income
$2,153
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$517
After-tax cash flow
$2,836/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yellow Medicine East
NCES district ID
2700099
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,457
Composite
33.74/100
National rank
#5369
State rank
#227 of 301 in MN

Livability — Clarkfield

Score
66/100
State rank
#497
US rank
#11957

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clarkfield, MN
Population (ZIP)
1,403

Population outlook (Yellow Medicine County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,959 people
By 2030
8,451 · -5.7%
By 2040
7,514 · -16.1%
By 2050
6,650 · -25.8%
By 2075
5,306 · -40.8%
By 2100
4,453 · -50.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 33% Lithuanian 4% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Yellow Medicine

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.6) · D 28.7% · R 69.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-44.9pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -40.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.6 2020: R+37.0 2016: R+35.4 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 106.79%
Current HPI
318.75
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $81,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+15.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $832 · +17.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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