2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Active
· 461 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$922/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$138
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$194
Net cashflow
$176/mo
Annual
$2,115/yr
Cap rate
8.97%
Cash-on-cash
9.56%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($922 rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 461 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Shikellamy SD (town): math 33% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #362 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Priestley Sch (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #586 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 261 students, 100% FRL); Shikellamy Ms (math 24% / reading 43%, grade F, #342 of 512 statewide, top 67%, 674 students, 100% FRL); Shikellamy Hs (math 52% / reading 24%, grade F, #281 of 437 statewide, top 65%, 887 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 46% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 461 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6MSNS49JW3Z3AN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29