3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,304 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$895/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$704
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$188
Net cashflow
$-221/mo
Annual
$-2,654/yr
Cap rate
4.32%
Cash-on-cash
-7.06%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$37,607
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-221 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($895 rent vs $10k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $929 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#428 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Red Oak Community School District (town): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #255 of 289 in IA (top 88%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Inman Elementary School (math 63% / reading 47%, grade C, #459 of 616 statewide, top 75%, 496 students, 59% FRL); Red Oak Early Childhood Center (74 students, 62% FRL); Red Oak Junior/Senior High School (math 55% / reading 67%, grade C+, #258 of 336 statewide, top 78%, 474 students, 55% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 20.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 13 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (80%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6N34HN9H6CM6SM
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29