3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Other
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$70
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$142/mo
Annual
$1,700/yr
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.10%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (11.1% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#251 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Mountain Grove R-III (town): math 48% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #73 of 324 in MO (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mountain Grove Elem. (math 50% / reading 53%, grade C-, #268 of 1,115 statewide, top 24%, 688 students, 58% FRL); Mountain Grove Middle (math 47% / reading 48%, grade C-, #88 of 391 statewide, top 24%, 476 students, 60% FRL); Mountain Grove High (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #155 of 521 statewide, top 32%, 444 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wright County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.8% in Mountain Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6P6K386AGJN4EV
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29