733 W North St · Mountain Grove, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offers affordable living with plenty of potential to make it your own. Situated on a spacious lot with mature trees and a covered front porch, this property features a durable metal roof, attached garage, and a functional layout with generously sized living spaces. Inside, you'll find a large living room, cozy kitchen with ample cabinet space, and a separate dining area perfect for family meals or gatherings. The home offers a great opportunity for buyers looking for a starter home, rental investment, or a property they can update over time to build equity. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and local amenities, this home combines value, space, and
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Durable metal roof
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located at 733 W North St, Mountain Grove, MO; Directions: Easy to find with GPS; second home on the left west of Busch Ave.
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: One level; Above-grade finished area 1,040
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Lot approximately 0.28 acres; Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Interior features: Central heating; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (11.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.8% in Mountain Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#251 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mountain Grove R-III (town): math 48% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #73 of 324 in MO (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mountain Grove Elem. (math 50% / reading 53%, grade C-, #268 of 1,115 statewide, top 24%, 688 students, 58% FRL); Mountain Grove Middle (math 47% / reading 48%, grade C-, #88 of 391 statewide, top 24%, 476 students, 60% FRL); Mountain Grove High (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #155 of 521 statewide, top 32%, 444 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wright County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.10%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-10,321
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,379
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65711
- Home prices YoY
- -14.7%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $247/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $209 | -5% $175 | +0% $142 | +5% $-28 | +10% $-69 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $58 | -5% $100 | +0% $142 | +5% $183 | +10% $225 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $202 | -0.5pp $172 | base $142 | +0.5pp $111 | +1.0pp $79 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $119,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01status $119,000 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$119,000 Active
-
2023-03-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $247 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,154 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$907/yr (+$76/mo · 367.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,697
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$247
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,016
- − Management
- −$1,016
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$304
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$73
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mountain Grove R-III
- NCES district ID
- 2921510
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,918
- Composite
- 39.72/100
- National rank
- #3899
- State rank
- #73 of 324 in MO
Livability — Mountain Grove
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #251
- US rank
- #12218
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mountain Grove, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,690
Population outlook (Wright County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,699 people
- By 2030
- 15,751 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 13,894 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 12,086 · -27.6%
- By 2075
- 8,301 · -50.3%
- By 2100
- 5,110 · -69.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Wright
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+75.7) · D 11.8% · R 87.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -75.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+75.7 2020: R+71.9 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+48.7 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.74%
- Current HPI
- 218.8559
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $119,000 SOMO
- 2023-03-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2024): $247 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…