3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
858 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,383/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,280
Tax + insurance
−$170
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$-357/mo
Annual
$-4,281/yr
Cap rate
4.54%
Cash-on-cash
-6.27%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.57%
Cash to close
$68,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $244k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-357 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (25.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (43.3% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $138k (43.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#168 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, commute F.
Lexington 02 (suburban): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #45 of 80 in SC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cayce Elementary (math 24% / reading 22%, grade F, #469 of 597 statewide, top 79%, 998 students, 100% FRL); Cyril B. Busbee Creative Arts Academy (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #159 of 229 statewide, top 70%, 420 students, 100% FRL); Brookland-Cayce High (math 32% / reading 77%, grade C-, #130 of 196 statewide, top 69%, 1,171 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 59% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6Q6J66B9RS4EDB
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29