4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,984 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,492/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,150
Tax + insurance
−$605
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$523
Net cashflow
$-811/mo
Annual
$-9,729/yr
Cap rate
3.92%
Cash-on-cash
-8.48%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$114,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $410k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-811 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (34.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (39.2% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $249k (39.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $44k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $41k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#285 in OH, #4,658 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Little Miami Local (rural): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #140 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Little Miami Primary School (math 76% / reading 65%, grade A-, #376 of 1,584 statewide, top 24%, 855 students, 18% FRL); Little Miami Middle School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A, #143 of 654 statewide, top 23%, 1,279 students, 16% FRL); Little Miami High School (math 52% / reading 81%, grade B, #150 of 781 statewide, top 20%, 1,445 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $118k; list at $410k implies a 246% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$70k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6RVGZK6XATAV2V
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29