3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,257/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$315
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$474
Net cashflow
$288/mo
Annual
$3,460/yr
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.49%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#37 in MO, #3,184 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
Webster Groves (suburban): math 56% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #7 of 324 in MO (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Bristol Elem. (math 58% / reading 72%, grade B+, #68 of 1,115 statewide, top 6%, 388 students, 6% FRL); Hixson Middle (math 54% / reading 62%, grade B, #26 of 391 statewide, top 7%, 981 students, 12% FRL); Webster Groves High (math 50% / reading 73%, grade B-, #31 of 521 statewide, top 6%, 1,315 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.9% in Webster Groves — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6SK1001XEY62K1
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29