2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Manufactured
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,052/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$641
Net cashflow
$-7/mo
Annual
$-89/yr
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.09%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-89/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $349k (0.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $305k (12.8% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $305k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: South Shores/Csudh Visual And Performing Arts (439 students, 50% FRL); Richard Henry Dana Middle (1,424 students, 82% FRL); San Pedro Senior High (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #520 of 1,170 statewide, top 45%, 2,582 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $109k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($121k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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