2007 Silver Fox Ln

Howland Center, OH 44484

$229,900C+

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,865 sqft · Built 1962 · SingleFamily · Active · 29 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,300/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,206
• Tax + insurance: −$311
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$483
• Net cashflow: $300/mo
• Annual: $3,606/yr
• Cap rate: 7.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.60%
• DSCR: 1.25
• 1% rule: 1.00%
• Cash to close: $64,372

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
• It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $226k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#207 in OH, #3,283 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Howland Local (suburban): math 59% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #260 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Mines Elementary School (math 67% / reading 58%, grade B, #580 of 1,584 statewide, top 37%, 330 students, 41% FRL); Howland Middle School (math 56% / reading 66%, grade B+, #252 of 654 statewide, top 39%, 766 students, 38% FRL); Howland High School (math 58% / reading 74%, grade B, #155 of 781 statewide, top 20%, 742 students, 38% FRL).
• Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.4% in Howland Center — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.