3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,092 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Manufactured
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,580/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5
Tax + insurance
−$2
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$332
Net cashflow
$1,241/mo
Annual
$14,896/yr
Cap rate
1495.88%
Cash-on-cash
5319.95%
DSCR
237.71
1% rule
158.00%
Cash to close
$280
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $1k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($985) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $985 (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#172 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Mccomb School District (town): math 15% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #106 of 130 in MS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $280 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6XVZFT1DTPKCWW
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29