2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,653 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Manufactured
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,363/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$743
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$286
Net cashflow
$134/mo
Annual
$1,606/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$39,650
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $142k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (3.8% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $979 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,308 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Diaz-Villarreal El (math 17% / reading 18%, grade F, #3,805 of 4,322 statewide, top 89%, 594 students, 97% FRL); Memorial Middle (math 24% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,177 of 1,662 statewide, top 72%, 700 students, 84% FRL); La Joya Palmview H S (math 20% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,157 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,155 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 54% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 474 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 96% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.5% in La Homa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: fencing
— The fencing is visibly weathered and in poor condition.
Major: roof
— The roof condition is unknown but likely poor given the overall condition.
Major: flooring
— The flooring condition is unknown but likely poor given the overall condition.
Major: interior walls/paint
— The interior walls and paint condition are unknown but likely poor given the overall condition.
Major: systems
— The systems condition is unknown but likely poor given the overall condition.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping and curb appeal are unknown but likely poor given the overall condition.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6YCGGZ3T8SYYC3
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29