3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,304 sqft ·
Built 1917
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,379/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$445
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$435/mo
Annual
$5,219/yr
Cap rate
12.44%
Cash-on-cash
21.95%
DSCR
1.98
1% rule
1.62%
Cash to close
$23,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#428 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment D-.
Sodus Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #462 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $57k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6ZGA40754YGSBK
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29