3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,380 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,910/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,992
Tax + insurance
−$782
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$611
Net cashflow
$-475/mo
Annual
$-5,703/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.17%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$106,386
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-475 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $296k (22.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (23.4% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $291k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#352 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Oldham County (suburban): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #6 of 165 in KY (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Harmony Elementary School (math 56% / reading 59%, grade C+, #45 of 676 statewide, top 7%, 632 students, 12% FRL); North Oldham Middle School (math 51% / reading 66%, grade B, #4 of 217 statewide, top 2%, 787 students, 11% FRL); North Oldham High School (math 67% / reading 63%, grade B, #2 of 254 statewide, top 0%, 995 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 402 units permitted in Oldham County in 2024 (56 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oldham County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $129k; list at $380k implies a 195% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.2% in Charlestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6ZQANABTN8Q7QG
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29