2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,900 sqft ·
Built 1927
· Condo
· Active
· 394 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,968/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$417
HOA
−$2,557
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$413
Net cashflow
$-2,730/mo
Annual
$-32,763/yr
Cap rate
-6.81%
Cash-on-cash
-46.80%
DSCR
-1.08
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-33k/yr) — negative.
Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (21.3% below list).
It's been on market 394 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 130% of rent; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 47d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate -6.8% vs local median 7.0% in Buffalo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
At $1,968/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 394 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-708PZ08HZ1ADX1
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29