3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,124 sqft ·
Built 1979
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 307 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,108/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$177
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$863
Net cashflow
$1,763/mo
Annual
$21,152/yr
Cap rate
14.79%
Cash-on-cash
30.34%
DSCR
2.35
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $249k).
It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $219k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in WY, #2,337 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
Sheridan County School District #2 (town): math 68% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #1 of 41 in WY (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Sagebrush Elementary (math 92% / reading 77%, grade A+, #1 of 151 statewide, top 1%, 326 students, 43% FRL); Sheridan Junior High School (math 60% / reading 73%, grade A-, #9 of 55 statewide, top 15%, 843 students, 28% FRL); Sheridan High School (math 71% / reading 75%, grade B+, #4 of 75 statewide, top 4%, 1,092 students, 24% FRL).
Market conditions: 514 active listings in the ZIP; 309 units permitted in Sheridan County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sheridan County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 2.4% in Sheridan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,108/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 742% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-70Q6CJE0EH7B5Z
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29