2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Manufactured
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$432
Net cashflow
$658/mo
Annual
$7,902/yr
Cap rate
11.94%
Cash-on-cash
20.16%
DSCR
1.90
1% rule
1.47%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $658 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#676 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, cost of living F.
Claremont Unified (suburban): math 50% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #259 of 1,400 in CA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sumner Elementary (428 students, 41% FRL); El Roble Intermediate (946 students, 35% FRL); Claremont High (math 72% / reading 87%, grade A-, #45 of 1,170 statewide, top 4%, 2,256 students, 32% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 57% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Claremont Unified average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 39d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 2.8% in Pomona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Handicap ramp
— Visible ramp near front door
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Some discoloration
CashFlowRE · CFR-71PHMX8QAXKQAC
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29