3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
875 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$909/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$191
Net cashflow
$-90/mo
Annual
$-1,079/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.97%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-90 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (12.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (30.1% below list).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $91k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#533 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Rantoul Township Hsd 193 (town): math 10% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #824 of 919 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Northview Elem School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,673 of 2,056 statewide, top 84%, 251 students, 0% FRL); J W Eater Jr High School (math 2% / reading 6%, grade F, #651 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 516 students, 0% FRL); Rantoul Twp High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 848 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 573 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (359 in 5+ unit buildings).
Champaign County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $26k; list at $130k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.3% in Rantoul — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29