5 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,939 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Other
· Active
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,263/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,767
Tax + insurance
−$349
HOA
−$75
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$685
Net cashflow
$-614/mo
Annual
$-7,366/yr
Cap rate
4.90%
Cash-on-cash
-4.99%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$147,748
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $528k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-614 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $419k (20.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $326k (38.2% below list).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($512k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $326k (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Northwest ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #120 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Haslet El (math 42% / reading 46%, grade F, #1,243 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 884 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 1083 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-72GX834D2GX52P
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29