3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,898 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,089/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,617
Tax + insurance
−$1,086
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$859
Net cashflow
$-472/mo
Annual
$-5,666/yr
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.06%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$139,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $499k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-472 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $416k (16.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $409k (18.0% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $409k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#340 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Clarkstown Central School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #66 of 590 in NY (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: West Nyack Elementary School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #314 of 2,108 statewide, top 17%, 314 students, 18% FRL); Felix Festa Achievement Middle School (math 57% / reading 77%, grade A-, #101 of 729 statewide, top 15%, 640 students, 19% FRL); Clarkstown South Senior High School (math 100% / reading 90%, grade A+, #93 of 1,100 statewide, top 10%, 1,345 students, 16% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $38k; list at $499k implies a 1213% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-730CDHFW1VV87P
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29