5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,774 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 115 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,148/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$640
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$661
Net cashflow
$407/mo
Annual
$4,886/yr
Cap rate
8.14%
Cash-on-cash
6.59%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $241k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#7 in OR, #168 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
Gladstone SD 115 (suburban): math 75% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #2 of 58 in OR (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: John Wetten Elementary School (574 students, 42% FRL); Walter L Kraxberger Middle School (373 students, 39% FRL); Gladstone High School (594 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 43 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.9% in Gladstone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-73Z4714CA2WNBX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29