3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,348/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$645
Tax + insurance
−$536
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$-116/mo
Annual
$-1,386/yr
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.85%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$34,412
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $102k (16.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#67 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Washington Parish (rural): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 98 in LA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Franklinton Primary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #359 of 646 statewide, top 57%, 664 students, 56% FRL); Franklinton Junior High School (math 27% / reading 46%, grade F, #82 of 218 statewide, top 38%, 362 students, 59% FRL); Franklinton High School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #106 of 265 statewide, top 43%, 732 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 77% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 245 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Washington Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.5% in Franklinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-74AF1P66N3Y48K
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29