5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,198 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 419 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,258/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$474
Net cashflow
$951/mo
Annual
$11,409/yr
Cap rate
14.45%
Cash-on-cash
29.13%
DSCR
2.30
1% rule
1.61%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $951 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 419 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Thirkell Elementarymiddle School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 501 students, 91% FRL); Northwestern High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #659 of 713 statewide, top 97%, 358 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 90% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 310 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 69d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 66% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 9.8% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,258/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 419 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior paint
— The exterior walls show some wear and discoloration, indicating minor paint damage.
Minor: hardwood flooring
— The flooring appears worn and could benefit from refinishing.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29