3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,498 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 159 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,936/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$252
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$407
Net cashflow
$45/mo
Annual
$545/yr
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.83%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($545/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (17.6% below list).
It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $194k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#92 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, commute F.
Lee County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #131 of 178 in NC (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: J Glenn Edwards Elementary (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #825 of 1,410 statewide, top 59%, 532 students, 76% FRL); Sanlee Middle School (math 32% / reading 43%, grade F, #256 of 475 statewide, top 55%, 809 students, 70% FRL); Southern Lee High School (math 43% / reading 46%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,234 students, 61% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 462 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 602 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $235k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Sanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-74NARKD992E3FN
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29