3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1959
· Manufactured
· Active
· 871 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,107/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$600
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$-174/mo
Annual
$-2,093/yr
Cap rate
3.07%
Cash-on-cash
-11.50%
DSCR
0.49
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-174 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $40k (38.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 871 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (38.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#115 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Box Elder District (town): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #38 of 80 in UT (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lake View School (math 28% / reading 26%, grade F, #454 of 585 statewide, top 79%, 609 students, 55% FRL); Young Intermediate (math 38% / reading 43%, grade F, #69 of 138 statewide, top 51%, 1,079 students, 33% FRL); Box Elder High (math 29% / reading 50%, grade F, #65 of 171 statewide, top 39%, 1,583 students, 23% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 54% of rent; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 333 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 461 units permitted in Box Elder County in 2024 (62 in 5+ unit buildings).
Box Elder County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 871 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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