3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,578 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,782/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$231
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$374
Net cashflow
$391/mo
Annual
$4,688/yr
Cap rate
9.42%
Cash-on-cash
11.16%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#248 in PA, #2,145 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D-.
Fox Chapel Area SD (suburban): math 73% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #7 of 539 in PA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Dorseyville Ms (math 59% / reading 82%, grade A, #11 of 512 statewide, top 2%, 967 students, 24% FRL); Fox Chapel Area Hs (math 87%, 1,283 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $150k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-75K1TR1Z2Q5N30
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29