3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 230 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,771/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$616
Tax + insurance
−$196
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$582
Net cashflow
$1,378/mo
Annual
$16,535/yr
Cap rate
20.38%
Cash-on-cash
50.30%
DSCR
3.24
1% rule
2.36%
Cash to close
$32,872
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $117k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $117k).
It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $812 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#399 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, cost of living B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-75PFAQCK5C207B
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29