Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30815
$230,000D
5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,128 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,097/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$383
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$440
Net cashflow
$67/mo
Annual
$804/yr
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.25%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($804/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (8.8% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Burke County (town): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #148 of 174 in GA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Burke County Middle School (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #345 of 470 statewide, top 74%, 882 students, 100% FRL); Burke County High School (math 4% / reading 17%, grade F, #348 of 424 statewide, top 83%, 1,170 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 72% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Burke County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-75RJ7B7PPD986Y
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29